STORMS · 3 MIN READ

Watches, warnings, and advisories

A watch means be ready. A warning means act now. Mixing them up is the most common and most consequential weather literacy failure there is.

The National Weather Service issues alerts in three tiers, and the vocabulary is consistent across every hazard type, thunderstorm, tornado, flood, winter storm, hurricane, heat.

AdvisoryConditions are inconvenient or hazardous but not life-threatening. Adjust your plans.
WatchConditions are favorable for the event. It hasn't happened yet. Prepare and stay informed.
WarningThe event is happening or imminent in your area. Take protective action now.
THE KITCHEN VERSION

A watch is having the ingredients on the counter. A warning is the pan on fire.

THE ALERT CLOCK
ONE AFTERNOON
WATCH
T-4:36
Drag the clock. Watch when each tier arrives and how much ground it covers.
IN FORCEWATCH
COVERS32 OF 40
VALID FOR6.5 HOURS
HAZARD
THE CLOCK
T-4:36
ADVISORYInconvenient or hazardous, not life-threatening. Adjust your plans.
WATCHConditions are favourable. It has not happened yet. Prepare and stay informed.
WARNINGHappening or imminent in your area. Take protective action now.
A watch means conditions are favourable.
IDEALIZED MODEL OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PRACTICE. NOT A LIVE OBSERVATION AND NOT A REAL ALERT. TIMINGS AND SHAPES ARE TYPICAL, NOT GUARANTEED.

Scale and timing differ too

Watches are issued for large areas, often many counties, hours in advance, a tornado watch might cover half a state for six hours. Warnings are small and short: a specific polygon, often a fraction of a county, valid for 30 to 60 minutes, issued when radar or a spotter confirms the threat.

That's why a warning demands immediate action. It isn't a forecast anymore; it's a report.

The ones worth knowing on sight

Where they come from

122 local NWS forecast offices issue most warnings for their areas, while national centers handle specialized threats, the Storm Prediction Center for severe weather and tornado watches, the National Hurricane Center for tropical systems. All of it is public, free, and distributed within seconds through the same feeds any app can access.

See it on your own sky
Fat Tail shows these numbers measured by the airport sensor nearest you, and explains each one when you tap it. Free forever, on the App Store now.
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